openpoliticsCloses in 4 months
Will a new coalition be formally registered before the 2027 cycle opens?
Tracks formal coalition registration with the Registrar of Political Parties.
YES chance
35%35¢
YES35%NO—
YES probability
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Recent trades
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Order book
YES
BidQty
- 0.3020.00
AskQty
- 0.4020.00
NO
BidQty
No resting orders
AskQty
No resting orders
Resolution
Rules
YES if a new coalition is gazetted before the official 2027 campaign window.
Source of truth
Office of the Registrar of Political Parties
Comments
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